UBS on active management: myth busters?
It has again been a very long time since my last post. Sorry again. But I have now decided that it might be fun to get involved in the ongoing discussion over the merits of active management, particularly since so much of it is self-serving nonsense — incidentally on both sides. UBS has now weighed […]
Did The Economist miss the point?
Ten days ago, a teaser on the cover of The Economist proclaimed the “Death of the fund manager”. Inside, there was a leader – which is what The Economist calls its editorials – and a lengthy article. Given the tone of the teaser, the content is hardly surprising. It berates financial intermediaries for their greed […]
Risk adjustment as an excuse
Risk adjustment is a fundamental element of modern portfolio theory. Alpha is defined as the return left over after the impact of all sources of risk, including strategic biases, has been accounted for (see the examples in my series on alpha). But a positive historical alpha alone is not sufficient to conclude that a particular […]
Alpha in tactical asset allocation
It is easy to beat the benchmark of a balanced portfolio in the long run. All we have to do is systematically overweight the riskier asset classes to capture their higher risk premiums. This may add some volatility but will almost certainly lead to a better long-term performance. Many years ago, I suggested this approach […]
Alpha in single asset class portfolios
Active managers try to outperform their benchmark through various active bets. They obviously need to be skilled in order to be successful. But skill is not the only possible driver of active bets. Some will be the result of biases. As investors, we need to be able to untangle the impact of skill – alpha […]
Alpha – real and fake
A few weeks ago, a friend asked me what I thought about a recently published study, entitled “The value of the hedge fund industry to investors, markets and the broader economy”. Written by the Centre for Hedge Fund Research of the Imperial College in London, it is published by KPMG and the Alternative Investment Management […]
Wealth preservation: an illusion?
This is the second in a short series of posts on the recent update of the Dimson-Marsh-Staunton long-term return study sponsored by Credit Suisse. Barron’s publishes annual lists of the richest families in the US and around the world. One striking aspect of those lists is the absence in the top 100 of the great […]
The long-term risk of bonds
This is the first in a short series of posts on the recent update of the Dimson-Marsh-Staunton long-term return study sponsored by Credit Suisse. The Dimson-Marsh-Staunton study, first published twelve years ago under the title Triumph of the Optimists, covers a number of important investment issues based on an abundance of statistical information on equities, […]
Is active management easier in less efficient markets?
At a recent client meeting, a consultant stated that they favored active strategies in emerging markets even though, in developed markets, they usually recommended a passive approach. They argued that emerging markets were much less efficient than, say, the US market and that it would therefore be “easier” to add value through active management and […]
How to ensure poor performance
By Rolf on 10 November 2015
This “case study” is taken from a piece that I wrote for a client who found it too negative. It describes the way that many “active” equity portfolios are managed. It may seem like a caricature to some, unfortunately it is not. Thus, it is not surprising that so many fail to perform. Consider a […]
Posted in Active/passive management, Comments/ramblings | Tagged Alpha, Performance